Southern Methodist vs Houston 11/19/2011

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Houston is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over Southern Methodist. Case Keenum is averaging 406 passing yards and 3.3 TDs per simulation and Charles Sims is projected for 72 rushing yards and a 60% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where Southern Methodist wins, J.J. McDermott averages 2.59 TD passes vs 0.77 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.28 TDs to 1.21 interceptions. Zach Line averages 144 rushing yards and 1.76 rushing TDs when Southern Methodist wins and 120 yards and 0.89 TDs in losses. Houston has a 56% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HOU -19.5

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